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棉花行情期货
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棉花行情期货上市,开启了行情对现货市场的影响,为棉价上涨提供强有力的支撑,市场由期货升水向期货升水的转变,在经历了较大幅度的下跌后,出现了高升水行情,此时,仓单又被套住了,同时,交易成本提高,出现了贸易商和纺织企业竞相降价的情况,交投活跃,期价开始一轮快速上涨行情。
期货市场除了套保,其实就是期现价格与期货价间的关系,一般来说期货价格处于升水状态时,期价往往会出现跟涨,处于回调期,也就是说,期货价格与现货价格之间存在价差,因而,对于远期价格有价差的判断,那么从期货升水或跌幅来看,就会出现价差,如果期货价格高于现货,则意味着近期现货出现强势跟涨,反之,则出现价差。
期货价格与现货价格出现价差的原因:
1、期货升水,现货买价和期货买价的位置会出现价差,期货贴水现货,反之,期货贴水现货。
2、期货买价和期货卖价的位置,现货买价和期货卖价的位置会出现价差,期货贴水现货,两者呈现价差。
3、库存压力、需求状况、生产情况、库存水平、货物流通情况以及外贸订单情况,通常是可以对期货价格进行判断的。
4、短期和长期价格的变动,一般是对期货价格的影响因素,这种影响是基于供需关系,而对期货价格的影响则是对期货价格的影响因素,有时会影响现货价格,有时则会影响期货价格。
THE END
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